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Red141
141834.8
236329.9
242115.3
Blue137
162934.2
173128.0
533825.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97109050150200141137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#11
34.80.4
34.434.8
Auto9.1
Teleop18.9
End6.8
red by 0.6
34.20.5
33.834.2
Auto8.7
Teleop20.6
End4.9
Second
29.90.4
29.629.9
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End5.8
red by 1.9
28.00.5
27.628.0
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End4.5
Third
2421
#32
15.30.4
14.915.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End3.2
blue by 10.0
5338
#16
25.30.5
24.825.3
Auto8.5
Teleop13.0
End3.8