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Red50
450529.2
533825.3
242115.3
Blue42
454113.4
141834.8
337317.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51514244464850525456585042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.0
16.116.2
Auto7.2
Teleop15.6
End6.3
blue by 5.6
1418
#11
34.80.9
20.920.0
Auto9.1
Teleop18.9
End6.8
Second
5338
#16
25.30.0
19.819.9
Auto8.5
Teleop13.0
End3.8
red by 7.8
3373
#22
17.50.9
12.811.9
Auto5.6
Teleop9.0
End2.9
Third
2421
#32
15.30.0
13.613.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End3.2
red by 1.9
4541
#34
13.40.9
16.015.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed