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Red60
424225.5
533825.3
62324.4
Blue44
171923.8
62013.2
327413.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions622702040801001206044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4242
#13
25.50.5
15.315.8
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End5.4
red by 1.7
1719
#12
23.81.4
15.116.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End5.4
Second
5338
#16
25.30.5
19.920.4
Auto8.5
Teleop13.0
End3.8
red by 12.0
3274
#33
13.31.4
5.46.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Third
623
#4
24.40.5
20.020.5
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End5.9
red by 11.2
620
#31
13.21.4
11.112.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsMissed16%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed