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Red58
61415.7
447217.4
53920.6
Blue62
524317.1
189522.6
558720.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32550204060801005862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#18
20.62.6
11.714.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End2.9
blue by 2.1
1895
#14
22.61.4
20.121.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End3.7
Second
4472
#29
17.42.6
13.015.6
Auto1.0
Teleop9.8
End6.5
blue by 3.3
5587
#10
20.71.4
10.511.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End4.6
Third
614
#27
15.72.6
9.812.4
Auto1.4
Teleop12.6
End1.6
blue by 1.4
5243
#19
17.11.4
19.120.4
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed