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Red60
298820.3
424225.5
524317.1
Blue82
189522.6
61917.5
141834.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515902040801006082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4242
#13
25.51.1
15.416.4
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End5.4
blue by 9.3
1418
#11
34.82.3
24.426.7
Auto9.1
Teleop18.9
End6.8
Second
2988
#15
20.31.1
14.615.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.6
End2.6
blue by 2.3
1895
#14
22.62.3
21.523.8
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End3.7
Third
5243
#19
17.11.1
20.421.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End3.4
blue by 0.4
619
#25
17.52.3
10.212.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsMissed51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed