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Red59
45381.3
61415.7
450529.2
Blue42
171923.8
61917.5
623616.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384402060801005942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.22.4
19.321.7
Auto7.2
Teleop15.6
End6.3
red by 5.3
1719
#12
23.80.0
18.918.9
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End5.4
Second
614
#27
15.72.4
12.014.4
Auto1.4
Teleop12.6
End1.6
blue by 1.9
619
#25
17.50.0
12.512.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End1.6
Third
4538
#39DQ
1.32.4
6.38.7
Auto2.1
Teleop0.6
End-1.3
blue by 15.5
6236
#28
16.80.0
10.210.3
Auto6.1
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
23%Breach oddsEarned20%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed