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Red41
53920.6
29118.4
11619.7
Blue64
112318.1
345521.3
62324.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444702060801001204164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#18
20.60.8
18.317.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End2.9
blue by 3.8
623
#4
24.42.1
22.424.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End5.9
Second
116
#26
19.70.8
16.115.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.8
End2.8
blue by 1.6
3455
#23
21.32.1
14.616.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End5.2
Third
2911
#38DQ
8.40.8
9.08.1
Auto1.4
Teleop8.3
End-1.3
blue by 9.7
1123
#21
18.12.1
8.410.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed