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Red58
111122.6
447217.4
206821.5
Blue81
236329.9
88824.2
112318.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626540801005881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#24
22.60.3
22.522.2
Auto4.4
Teleop15.8
End2.5
blue by 7.3
29.91.3
28.429.7
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End5.8
Second
2068
#17
21.50.3
22.522.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End2.9
blue by 2.7
888
#8
24.21.2
20.021.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.1
Third
4472
#29
17.40.3
15.915.6
Auto1.0
Teleop9.8
End6.5
blue by 0.7
1123
#21
18.11.2
14.115.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed