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Red45
29118.4
327413.3
345521.3
Blue54
556912.1
618918.1
623616.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4041203050604554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3455
#23
21.30.5
19.720.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End5.2
red by 3.2
6189
#30
18.11.3
15.917.2
Auto1.6
Teleop12.1
End4.5
Second
3274
#33
13.30.5
13.013.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.2
End2.1
blue by 3.5
6236
#28
16.81.3
13.414.7
Auto6.1
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Third
2911
#38
8.40.5
6.87.3
Auto1.4
Teleop8.3
End-1.3
blue by 3.7
5569
#37
12.11.3
9.811.1
Auto2.0
Teleop7.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed20%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed