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Red37
111122.6
45381.3
11619.7
Blue40
447217.4
524317.1
242115.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445002060803740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#24DQ
22.61.0
22.221.2
Auto4.4
Teleop15.8
End2.5
red by 5.3
4472
#29
17.40.7
15.614.9
Auto1.0
Teleop9.8
End6.5
Second
116
#26
19.71.0
19.518.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.8
End2.8
red by 2.6
5243
#19
17.10.7
18.617.9
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End3.4
Third
4538
#39
1.31.0
1.80.8
Auto2.1
Teleop0.6
End-1.3
blue by 14.0
2421
#32
15.30.7
13.212.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsMissed22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed