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Red72
424225.5
62013.2
88824.2
Blue55
618918.1
61226.9
29118.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605002040801001201407255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4242
#13
25.51.2
22.924.2
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End5.4
blue by 1.4
612
#6
26.90.4
25.726.1
Auto7.4
Teleop13.5
End6.0
Second
888
#8
24.21.2
21.222.4
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.1
red by 6.1
6189
#30
18.10.4
17.217.6
Auto1.6
Teleop12.1
End4.5
Third
620
#31
13.21.2
12.613.8
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End2.0
red by 4.8
2911
#38
8.40.4
7.37.7
Auto1.4
Teleop8.3
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed