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Red108
162934.2
173128.0
533825.3
Blue112
171923.8
387221.7
112318.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11271050100150200108112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.20.1
33.233.2
Auto8.7
Teleop20.6
End4.9
red by 10.4
1719
#12
23.80.7
22.723.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End5.4
Second
28.00.1
26.927.0
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End4.5
red by 6.4
21.70.7
20.521.2
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End1.7
Third
5338
#16
25.30.1
24.224.3
Auto8.5
Teleop13.0
End3.8
red by 7.2
1123
#21
18.10.6
17.017.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End3.3