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Red100
188532.3
236337.6
595415.8
Blue162
12234.6
554633.6
580421.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910890100120130140150160100162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.1
37.837.6
Auto8.1
Teleop19.8
End9.7
red by 3.1
122
#9
34.60.4
34.234.6
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End5.3
Second
32.30.1
32.532.3
Auto6.1
Teleop22.4
End3.8
blue by 1.2
33.60.4
33.133.6
Auto10.3
Teleop11.5
End11.7
Third
5954
#23
15.80.1
15.915.8
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
blue by 5.5
5804
#21
21.30.4
20.921.3
Auto8.8
Teleop8.8
End3.7