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Red30
595027.8
316813.4
428618.9
Blue59
572418.0
188532.3
210712.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595501001502003059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5950
#19
27.82.1
23.921.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.4
blue by 4.6
32.30.4
25.825.4
Auto6.1
Teleop22.4
End3.8
Second
4286
#20DQ
18.93.5
16.412.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End3.6
red by 0.9
5724
#24
18.00.4
13.613.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Third
3168
#32DQ
13.43.5
16.112.6
Auto0.3
Teleop10.8
End2.4
red by 0.8
2107
#35DQ
12.60.6
15.014.4
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed