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Red65
307229.1
618920.9
210712.6
Blue80
126229.9
496915.1
595027.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58702040801006580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.5
27.628.0
Auto7.4
Teleop17.3
End4.4
blue by 0.8
29.90.6
29.730.3
Auto9.4
Teleop15.4
End5.1
Second
6189
#15
20.90.5
16.116.5
Auto1.4
Teleop15.1
End4.4
blue by 6.9
5950
#19
27.80.6
22.523.1
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Third
2107
#35DQ
12.60.8
14.615.4
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 2.5
4969
#28
15.11.0
13.914.9
Auto1.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed