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Red20
335912.6
595415.8
28908.3
Blue72
428618.9
618920.9
12234.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4159020801001202072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5954
#23
15.81.5
17.115.6
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
blue by 18.8
122
#9
34.61.4
24.626.0
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End5.3
Second
3359
#31
12.62.5
16.514.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End1.6
blue by 8.3
6189
#15
20.90.8
16.517.4
Auto1.4
Teleop15.1
End4.4
Third
2890
#33
8.31.5
8.87.3
Auto2.2
Teleop5.6
End0.5
blue by 10.6
4286
#20
18.91.4
13.314.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed