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Red33
313619.8
45388.1
108017.3
Blue25
336122.1
602112.3
595415.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3761020801001203325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#25
19.80.6
19.619.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End2.4
blue by 2.3
3361
#16
22.12.4
23.821.5
Auto9.7
Teleop9.5
End2.9
Second
1080
#29
17.30.6
14.814.2
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End4.7
red by 1.6
5954
#23
15.82.4
17.515.2
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Third
4538
#17
8.10.4
4.74.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.4
End0.3
blue by 4.2
6021
#34
12.33.4
14.210.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
12%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed