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Red73
28908.3
236337.6
595715.3
Blue67
572418.0
428618.9
113722.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6362203040507080901007367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.1
37.437.5
Auto8.1
Teleop19.8
End9.7
red by 14.7
22.90.3
22.021.7
Auto7.4
Teleop11.9
End3.6
Second
5957
#22
15.30.2
16.116.2
Auto7.8
Teleop6.1
End1.4
blue by 3.6
4286
#20
18.90.3
19.018.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End3.6
Third
2890
#33
8.30.1
7.87.9
Auto2.2
Teleop5.6
End0.5
blue by 9.6
5724
#24
18.00.2
19.719.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed79%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed