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Red45
428618.9
595415.8
152217.7
Blue92
28908.3
12234.6
126229.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487902040601001201401604592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4286
#20
18.90.5
18.618.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End3.6
blue by 15.7
122
#9
34.60.8
34.034.8
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End5.3
Second
1522
#30
17.70.5
18.117.6
Auto2.6
Teleop9.8
End5.3
blue by 12.3
29.90.7
30.230.9
Auto9.4
Teleop15.4
End5.1
Third
5954
#23
15.80.4
14.414.0
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
red by 7.4
2890
#33
8.30.7
7.98.5
Auto2.2
Teleop5.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed