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Red39
580421.3
210712.6
28908.3
Blue67
108017.3
496915.1
336122.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425302060801001203967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#21
21.30.2
20.820.5
Auto8.8
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 0.8
3361
#16
22.11.1
20.821.9
Auto9.7
Teleop9.5
End2.9
Second
2107
#35
12.60.2
12.912.6
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 4.7
1080
#29
17.31.2
15.516.8
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End4.7
Third
2890
#33
8.30.2
8.58.3
Auto2.2
Teleop5.6
End0.5
blue by 6.8
4969
#28
15.11.2
13.915.1
Auto1.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
17%Breach oddsMissed22%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed