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Red72
236337.6
316813.4
580421.3
Blue65
595027.8
336122.1
210712.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64623040507080907265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.8
29.930.7
Auto8.1
Teleop19.8
End9.7
red by 9.9
5950
#19
27.80.2
24.123.9
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Second
5804
#21
21.315.1
32.116.9
Auto8.8
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 0.8
3361
#16
22.10.2
23.223.0
Auto9.7
Teleop9.5
End2.9
Third
3168
#32
13.41.3
14.816.1
Auto0.3
Teleop10.8
End2.4
red by 0.8
2107
#35DQ
12.60.3
15.315.0
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed