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Red162
83634.1
38430.6
595722.4
Blue130
33931.4
34645.3
138928.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111135050200250300350162130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#3
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End3.8
blue by 11.1
346
#9
45.30.0
45.345.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
Second
384
#1
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
blue by 0.8
339
#16
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Third
5957
#19
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.9
blue by 6.1
1389
#30
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.1
Teleop16.3
End3.0