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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Rumble in the Roads
Red111
188539.1
554636.7
108022.8
Blue171
33931.4
34645.3
138928.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211330100200300400111171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto7.8
Teleop24.8
End6.5
blue by 6.2
346
#9
45.30.0
45.345.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
Second
36.70.0
36.736.7
Auto10.9
Teleop13.5
End12.2
red by 5.3
339
#16
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Third
1080
#20
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End3.7
blue by 5.7
1389
#30
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.1
Teleop16.3
End3.0