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Red55
179325.7
236336.8
595722.4
Blue74
54028.4
38430.6
33931.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86940501502002503003504005574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#18
36.80.0
36.836.8
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End8.3
red by 5.4
339
#16
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Second
1793
#22
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto10.8
Teleop10.1
End4.8
blue by 4.9
384
#1
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
Third
5957
#19
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.9
blue by 6.1
540
#27
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach odds81%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds6%Capture odds