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Red82
54028.4
108022.8
335921.9
Blue99
34645.3
126236.9
595027.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6712101001502002503003504008299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#27
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.1
blue by 16.8
346
#9
45.30.0
45.345.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
Second
1080
#20
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End3.7
blue by 14.1
1262
#15
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.1
Third
3359
#21
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 5.9
5950
#10
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds8%Capture odds