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Red108
595027.8
631215.6
38430.6
Blue63
428629.7
188539.1
335921.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions739705015020025030035010863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#1
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
blue by 8.5
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto7.8
Teleop24.8
End6.5
Second
5950
#10
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.4
blue by 1.9
4286
#24
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End5.2
Third
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 6.2
3359
#21
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds5%Capture odds