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Red86
595722.4
108644.3
33931.4
Blue99
162931.9
595027.8
335921.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104800501502002503008699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#26
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto10.5
Teleop30.1
End3.8
red by 12.4
1629
#12
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Second
339
#16
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 3.6
5950
#10
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Third
5957
#19
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.9
red by 0.5
3359
#21
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds86%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds1%Capture odds