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Red104
34645.3
38430.6
619425.1
Blue62
159932.5
190822.0
631315.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1116505015020025010462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
45.30.0
45.345.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
red by 12.8
1599
#23
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Second
384
#1
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
red by 8.7
1908
#25
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End3.9
Third
6194
#17
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
red by 9.5
6313
#13
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds82%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds1%Capture odds