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Red80
631315.6
54028.4
34645.3
Blue115
527936.5
631215.6
108644.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90101020030040050080115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
45.30.0
45.345.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
red by 0.9
1086
#26
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto10.5
Teleop30.1
End3.8
Second
540
#27
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.1
blue by 8.0
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Third
6313
#13
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Level
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds13%Capture odds