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Red101
126236.9
38430.6
202832.5
Blue91
83634.1
113732.3
619425.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059205015020010191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#15
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.1
red by 2.8
836
#3
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End3.8
Second
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End5.9
red by 0.2
1137
#14
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End6.5
Third
384
#1
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
red by 5.5
6194
#17
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
25%Capture odds53%Capture odds