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Red66
34645.3
179325.7
138928.4
Blue83
202832.5
113732.3
595027.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104940501502002506683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
45.30.0
45.345.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
red by 12.8
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End5.9
Second
1389
#30
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.1
Teleop16.3
End3.0
blue by 3.8
1137
#14
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End6.5
Third
1793
#22
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto10.8
Teleop10.1
End4.8
blue by 2.1
5950
#10
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds16%Capture odds