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Red128
83634.1
38430.6
595722.4
Blue151
162931.9
161033.2
619425.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11511490100110120130140150128151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#3
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End3.8
red by 1.0
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto9.4
Teleop18.8
End5.0
Second
384
#1
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
blue by 1.3
1629
#12
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Third
5957
#19
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.9
blue by 2.8
6194
#17
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5