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Red118
527936.5
631215.6
428629.7
Blue139
33931.4
34645.3
138928.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100137050200250300118139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
blue by 8.8
346
#9
45.30.0
45.345.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
Second
4286
#24
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End5.2
blue by 1.7
339
#16
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Third
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 12.8
1389
#30
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.1
Teleop16.3
End3.0