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Red107
36032.1
94831.3
593722.6
Blue125
339333.5
378728.3
446119.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11099050150200250300350400107125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#7
32.10.1
32.232.1
Auto6.1
Teleop23.2
End2.8
blue by 1.4
3393
#12
33.50.4
33.133.6
Auto8.8
Teleop19.4
End5.3
Second
948
#6
31.30.1
31.431.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
red by 3.0
28.30.4
27.928.3
Auto10.2
Teleop13.1
End5.0
Third
5937
#22
22.60.1
22.722.6
Auto9.0
Teleop11.5
End2.2
red by 2.8
4461
#14
19.80.4
19.419.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End3.6