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Red83
568319.5
378728.3
241229.3
Blue89
468119.8
446119.8
142542.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62750501001508389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#11
29.31.1
21.422.5
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
blue by 13.0
42.31.2
38.940.1
Auto9.8
Teleop19.7
End12.8
Second
28.31.1
24.625.6
Auto10.2
Teleop13.1
End5.0
red by 8.5
4461
#14
19.81.2
14.115.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End3.6
Third
5683
#32
19.51.1
15.916.9
Auto10.0
Teleop7.6
End1.9
blue by 0.2
4681
#27
19.81.2
18.019.2
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed