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Red40
406023.6
32378.6
468119.8
Blue66
446119.8
321820.7
291027.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505802040801001201404066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4060
#19
23.60.7
22.722.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End4.1
blue by 3.3
2910
#20
27.00.1
23.723.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End5.9
Second
4681
#27
19.80.7
19.018.3
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End2.3
blue by 0.9
3218
#17
20.70.1
17.217.2
Auto7.2
Teleop10.5
End3.0
Third
3237
#34
8.60.7
8.27.5
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End-1.5
blue by 11.2
4461
#14
19.80.1
14.314.4
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed