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Red112
94831.3
321820.7
142542.3
Blue64
468119.8
529510.2
304915.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions983105015011264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.31.4
41.542.9
Auto9.8
Teleop19.7
End12.8
red by 22.5
4681
#27
19.81.3
18.319.6
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End2.3
Second
948
#6
31.31.4
27.028.4
Auto11.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
red by 16.1
3049
#28
15.21.3
11.612.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Third
3218
#17
20.71.4
17.218.7
Auto7.2
Teleop10.5
End3.0
red by 10.4
5295
#36
10.21.3
10.311.6
Auto1.9
Teleop7.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned33%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed