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Red74
574813.6
241229.3
339333.5
Blue101
358833.8
568319.5
291027.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727040608010012074101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3393
#12
33.50.3
30.530.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.4
End5.3
blue by 0.2
3588
#15
33.81.2
27.728.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.1
End5.5
Second
2412
#11
29.30.3
25.625.9
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
red by 2.3
2910
#20
27.01.2
23.624.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End5.9
Third
5748
#35
13.60.3
13.213.5
Auto0.9
Teleop10.2
End2.5
blue by 5.9
5683
#32
19.51.2
16.918.1
Auto10.0
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed