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Red74
255521.2
142542.3
529510.2
Blue96
378620.6
321925.8
446941.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757840601001201407496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.1
42.943.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.7
End12.8
red by 0.9
41.31.4
34.435.8
Auto8.8
Teleop27.7
End4.8
Second
2555
#21
21.20.1
18.718.8
Auto6.6
Teleop12.8
End1.8
blue by 4.7
25.81.4
25.126.5
Auto4.5
Teleop16.2
End5.1
Third
5295
#36
10.20.1
11.611.6
Auto1.9
Teleop7.6
End0.7
blue by 10.4
3786
#18
20.61.4
16.017.4
Auto7.8
Teleop8.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed