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Red75
339333.5
378620.6
593920.9
Blue111
94831.3
292924.1
298024.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637705010015020075111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3393
#12
33.50.8
30.831.6
Auto8.8
Teleop19.4
End5.3
red by 2.2
948
#6
31.31.5
28.830.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
Second
5939
#16
20.90.8
15.015.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.3
End3.6
blue by 4.0
2980
#23
24.91.5
25.627.1
Auto3.7
Teleop17.1
End4.2
Third
3786
#18
20.60.8
17.418.1
Auto7.8
Teleop8.0
End4.8
blue by 3.5
2929
#26
24.11.5
18.720.2
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed