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Red101
446941.3
457913.5
357435.9
Blue70
568319.5
321820.7
294226.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8956010015010170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.3
35.837.0
Auto8.8
Teleop27.7
End4.8
red by 14.8
2942
#13
26.50.7
23.524.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End6.0
Second
35.91.3
34.435.7
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End5.2
red by 15.2
3218
#17
20.70.7
17.818.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.5
End3.0
Third
4579
#33
13.51.3
11.713.0
Auto1.1
Teleop10.6
End1.8
blue by 6.1
5683
#32
19.50.7
18.118.8
Auto10.0
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned39%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed