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Red74
304915.2
593722.6
378620.6
Blue80
294226.5
241229.3
32378.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556002040801001201407480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#22
22.61.3
22.523.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.5
End2.2
blue by 6.7
2412
#11
29.31.2
26.127.2
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Second
3786
#18
20.61.3
19.520.8
Auto7.8
Teleop8.0
End4.8
blue by 5.9
2942
#13
26.51.2
24.926.1
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End6.0
Third
3049
#28
15.21.3
12.513.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End2.3
red by 6.6
3237
#34
8.61.2
6.77.9
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End-1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed