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Red76
255521.2
378121.2
406023.6
Blue65
457913.5
292924.1
142542.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59672040801001207665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4060
#19
23.61.2
18.719.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End4.1
blue by 18.7
42.30.1
37.337.3
Auto9.8
Teleop19.7
End12.8
Second
3781
#24
21.21.2
22.924.1
Auto5.2
Teleop12.1
End3.9
blue by 2.9
2929
#26
24.10.1
17.417.5
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End4.5
Third
2555
#21
21.21.2
17.118.3
Auto6.6
Teleop12.8
End1.8
red by 7.7
4579
#33
13.50.1
9.19.2
Auto1.1
Teleop10.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed