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Red100
358833.8
368429.8
594121.3
Blue70
457913.5
468119.8
593920.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8442010015010070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3588
#15
33.81.6
30.532.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.1
End5.5
red by 12.9
5939
#16
20.91.5
18.419.9
Auto7.0
Teleop10.3
End3.6
Second
3684
#10
29.81.6
26.127.8
Auto7.2
Teleop18.5
End4.1
red by 10.0
4681
#27
19.81.5
16.217.7
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End2.3
Third
5941
#31
21.31.6
18.620.3
Auto8.1
Teleop9.0
End4.2
red by 7.8
4579
#33
13.51.5
12.614.1
Auto1.1
Teleop10.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned15%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed