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Red42
457913.5
593722.6
574813.6
Blue102
468119.8
368429.8
339333.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4885020406010012014016042102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#22
22.60.7
23.522.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.5
End2.2
blue by 11.0
3393
#12
33.51.7
31.433.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.4
End5.3
Second
5748
#35
13.60.7
14.313.6
Auto0.9
Teleop10.2
End2.5
blue by 16.2
3684
#10
29.81.7
27.829.5
Auto7.2
Teleop18.5
End4.1
Third
4579
#33
13.50.7
14.113.5
Auto1.1
Teleop10.6
End1.8
blue by 6.3
4681
#27
19.81.7
17.719.4
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned