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Red129
36032.1
446941.3
358833.8
Blue89
255521.2
594121.3
241229.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113635010015020012989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.8
39.641.4
Auto8.8
Teleop27.7
End4.8
red by 12.1
2412
#11
29.31.0
28.429.4
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Second
3588
#15
33.81.8
32.133.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.1
End5.5
red by 12.5
5941
#31
21.31.0
20.321.3
Auto8.1
Teleop9.0
End4.2
Third
360
#7
32.11.8
30.632.4
Auto6.1
Teleop23.2
End2.8
red by 11.0
2555
#21
21.21.0
20.321.3
Auto6.6
Teleop12.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed