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Red70
291027.0
468119.8
241229.3
Blue57
446941.3
94831.3
32378.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6574020401001201401607057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#11
29.30.3
21.721.4
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
blue by 12.1
41.31.2
32.331.0
Auto8.8
Teleop27.7
End4.8
Second
2910
#20
27.00.3
24.424.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End5.9
blue by 4.3
948
#6
31.31.2
28.627.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
Third
4681
#27
19.80.3
18.318.0
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End2.3
red by 11.1
3237
#34
8.61.2
9.68.4
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End-1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsMissed75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed