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Red44
131824.2
378122.9
323710.5
Blue112
339331.1
290729.8
323839.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60780204010012044112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#18
24.21.9
26.224.3
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End2.6
blue by 14.9
39.14.3
26.631.0
Auto8.5
Teleop25.3
End5.3
Second
3781
#16
22.91.9
17.115.2
Auto5.0
Teleop14.6
End3.3
blue by 8.2
3393
#13
31.14.3
22.226.5
Auto7.9
Teleop18.8
End4.3
Third
3237
#28
10.51.9
17.815.9
Auto1.0
Teleop8.8
End0.7
blue by 19.2
29.84.3
24.328.6
Auto10.4
Teleop12.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed