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Red52
491816.3
593913.4
366333.0
Blue65
52959.8
445031.6
568316.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6243020801005265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.2
29.228.0
Auto7.4
Teleop20.4
End5.1
red by 1.4
31.61.7
27.329.1
Auto3.8
Teleop25.7
End2.1
Second
4918
#36
16.31.2
13.111.9
Auto1.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
blue by 0.1
5683
#22
16.31.7
15.817.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.4
End1.2
Third
5939
#39
13.41.2
15.514.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End1.4
red by 3.5
5295
#35
9.81.7
1.43.2
Auto0.3
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsMissed29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed