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Red74
129423.9
413128.4
446113.8
Blue30
323710.5
52959.8
593913.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53280204060801007430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#14
28.41.8
20.522.3
Auto8.6
Teleop15.0
End4.8
red by 15.0
5939
#39
13.40.1
14.314.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End1.4
Second
1294
#11
23.91.8
19.221.0
Auto9.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0
red by 13.4
3237
#28
10.50.1
13.613.5
Auto1.0
Teleop8.8
End0.7
Third
4461
#27
13.81.8
7.89.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End1.5
red by 4.0
5295
#35
9.80.1
3.23.0
Auto0.3
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsMissed26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed